Wordle Bulletin # 570 (January 10, 2023)
Strategy
My strategy is built to ensure I solve 95% of the puzzles in 4 guesses or less. It is not built to always shoot for the lowest score possible. The score depends a lot on the seed word. Wordle is a game of luck and skill. My goal is to score an average solve rate of 4 guesses. My aspirational goal is 3.5 average and <5% 5/6 guesses.
My current performance vs. the goals:
I started using the current set of seed and 2nd words on 12/9/2022. My performance since then is summarized below. Due to small sample size, it is too soon to draw any statistically valid conclusions.
No. of puzzles solved: 31
Average: 3.355 (aspirational target 3.5)
% Puzzles solved in 4 guesses or less: 96.8% (Goal >/= 95%)
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Statistical Facts:
Typical Wordle Word Construct: 2 Vowels and one compound consonant (example KN or TCH)/paired consonant (example PP); seen with >50% frequency
10 Most frequent consonants (in declining order): R, T, L, S, N, C, H, P, D, and G
6 Vowels (in declining order): E, A, O, I, U, Y
10 Most frequent letters (in declining order): E, A, R, O, T, L, I, S, N, and C
Frequency of the 5 vowels in the five positions: 15%, 49%, 54%, 35% and 24% respectively.
Position of the letter “Y”: About 80% of all the “Ys” in Wordle are found in the 5th position.
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Today’s Wordle:
Target Word: GRIMY
# Of Guesses 4.1 WordleBot average per Marc McLaren*; 3 for WordleGuru. 😊
Seed Word: ALERT (Top 3 consonants and top 2 vowels) – No change – this is my go-to Seed word.
What we learned from the Seed Word: It revealed the presence of the letter R but not its position.
2nd word: SONIC my standard go-to 2nd word; eliminated all but 4 possibilities – FRIZZ, PRIMP, PRIVY and GRIMY. Discounted the first two thinking they are not commonly used. This left me with the last two. I consulted the frequency data and the position mix data and found that today the two were in conflict. I had a judgment to make. I thought PRIVY is used less than GRIMY, so I chose GRIMY. My gut feel was proven right. Wordle is a game of luck and some skill. Today luck was on my side.
Had GRIMY not be the answer, it would have been able work as an elimination word.
# Of Possible Solutions after the seed word: too many
# Of Possible Solutions after the 2nd word: 4
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EnotE (Eliminate-not-Enumerate) Strategy deployment: Did not need it. __________________________________________________________________________________________________
Final thoughts: Wordle is a game of luck and skill. Sometimes luck favors the game and sometimes it favors the player. Today luck was on my side. 😊
Today’s Wordle is a fine example of the power of letters found to not be in the target word. Between the first two words today, only 2 letters out of 10 were revealed. The 8 letters that were found not to be in the target word along with the 2 identified eliminated all the words with the exception of 4!
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My other work you may find interesting
I write Rhyming Prose (Prose that rhymes). My work in this area can be found on my website, Rhyming Prose — … when a poem won’t do it!
I have also started writing free-verse poems, haikus and songs. My work in this area can be found on my website, Budding Poets Corner – Poet Laureates of Tomorrow
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© 2023 Ashok Gupta All rights reserved.
Wordle and WordleBot are trademarks owned by the New York Times.
*The WordleBot score I refer to comes from Tom’s Guide by Marc McLaren. Marc writes his post at around 7 AM U.K. time.
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