Wordle Bulletin # 572 (January 12, 2023)
Strategy
My strategy is built to ensure I solve 95% of the puzzles in 4 guesses or less. It is not built to always shoot for the lowest score possible. The score depends a lot on the seed word. Wordle is a game of luck and skill. My goal is to score an average solve rate of 4 guesses. My aspirational goal is 3.5 average and <5% 5/6 guesses.
My current performance vs. the goals:
I started using the current set of seed and 2nd words on 12/9/2022. My performance since then is summarized below. Due to small sample size, it is too soon to draw any statistically valid conclusions.
No. of puzzles solved: 35
Average: 3.343 (aspirational target 3.5)
% Puzzles solved in 4 guesses or less: 97.1% (Goal >/= 95%)
__________________________________________________________________________________________________
Statistical Facts:
Typical Wordle Word Construct: 2 Vowels and one compound consonant (example KN or TCH)/paired consonant (example PP); seen with >50% frequency
10 Most frequent consonants (in declining order): R, T, L, S, N, C, H, P, D, and G
6 Vowels (in declining order): E, A, O, I, U, Y
10 Most frequent letters (in declining order): E, A, R, O, T, L, I, S, N, and C
Frequency of the 5 vowels in the five positions: 15%, 49%, 54%, 35% and 24% respectively.
Position of the letter “Y”: About 80% of all the “Ys” in Wordle are found in the 5th position.
__________________________________________________________________________________________________
Today’s Wordle:
Target Word: LEAPT
# Of Guesses 3.7 WordleBot average per Marc McLaren*; 3 for WordleGuru. 😊
Seed Word: ALERT (Top 3 consonants and top 2 vowels) – No change – this is my go-to Seed word.
What we learned from the Seed Word: It revealed the presence of 4 letters (A, L, E and T) and the position of T. It is quite rare to see the revelation of 4 letters by a seed word!
2nd word: LEAST; After the seed word there were 7 possibilities – VALET, ECLAT, LEAST, LEAPT, LEANT, EXALT, DEALT. I discounted ECLAT and EXALT as not being very common. This left me with VALET, LEAST, LEAPT, LEANT and DEALT. I discarded LEAPT and LEANT as out of scope since the spelling used in the US is LEAPED and LEANED.
So, I focused on VALET, LEAST and DEALT. I chose LEAST as an elimination word, with a 1/3 possibility of being the target word. Unlucky for me, the target word was LEAPT, despite my reservation. At the same time, lucky for me, LEAST worked fine as an elimination word and led me to the target word. Today luck was on my side. 😊😊😊😊😊
# Of Possible Solutions after the seed word: 7
# Of Possible Solutions after the 2nd word: 1
__________________________________________________________________________________________________
EnotE (Eliminate-not-Enumerate) Strategy deployment: Worked as designed. 😊 __________________________________________________________________________________________________
Final thoughts: Wordle is a game of luck and skill. Sometimes luck favors the game and sometimes it favors the player. Today luck was on my side. 😊😊😊😊😊
__________________________________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________________________________________________
My other work you may find interesting
I write Rhyming Prose (Prose that rhymes). My work in this area can be found on my website, Rhyming Prose — … when a poem won’t do it!
I have also started writing free-verse poems, haikus and songs. My work in this area can be found on my website, Budding Poets Corner – Poet Laureates of Tomorrow
__________________________________________________________________________________________________
© 2023 Ashok Gupta All rights reserved.
Wordle and WordleBot are trademarks owned by the New York Times.
*The WordleBot score I refer to comes from Tom’s Guide by Marc McLaren. Marc writes his post at around 7 AM U.K. time.
https: //www.tomsguide.com/news/what-is-todays-wordle-answer#section-previous-wordle-answers
__________________________________________________________________________________________________