Wordle Bulletin # 590 (January 30, 2023)
Strategy
My strategy is built to ensure I solve 95% of the puzzles in 4 guesses or less. It is not built to always shoot for the lowest score possible. The score depends a lot on the seed word. Wordle is a game of luck and skill. My goal is to score an average solve rate of 4 guesses. My aspirational goal is 3.5 average and <5% 5/6 guesses.
My current performance vs. the goals:
I started using the current set of seed and 2nd words on 12/9/2022. My performance since then is summarized below. Due to relatively small sample size, it is too soon to draw any statistically valid conclusions.
No. of puzzles solved: 50
Average: 3.42 (aspirational target 3.5 or less) 😊
% Puzzles solved in 4 guesses or less: 96% (Goal >/= 95%) 😊
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Statistical Facts:
Typical Wordle Word Construct: 2 Vowels and one compound consonant (example KN or TCH)/paired consonant (example PP); seen with >50% frequency.
10 Most frequent consonants (in declining order): R, T, L, S, N, C, H, P, D, and G/M
6 Vowels (in declining order): E, A, O, I, U, Y
10 Most frequent letters (in declining order): E, A, R, O, T, L, I, S, N, and C
Frequency of the 5 vowels in the five positions: 15%, 49%, 54%, 35% and 24% respectively.
Position of the letter “Y”: About 80% of all the “Ys” in Wordle are found in the 5th position.
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Today’s Wordle:
Target Word: CRAVE
# Of Guesses 3.8 WordleBot average per Marc McLaren*;3 for WordleGuru. 😊
Seed Word: ALERT (Top 3 consonants and top 2 vowels) – No change; this is my go-to Seed word.
What we learned from the Seed Word-
– Letter(s) with their position (s): NONE
– Letter(s) without their position (s): A, E and R
Typical or atypical target word? —Typical
— # of Vowels: (Typical 2); 2 (A and E)
— # of Compound/paired consonants: (Typical 1); 1 compound consonant (CR)
2nd word: CANES; Decided to use a different second word than my “go-to” second word (SONIC)since the seed word had already revealed two vowels. I chose CANES as the second word since I wanted to see if I can fix the location of A or E or both. It didn’t happen but it revealed that C is in the first position. That narrowed the choice to just three possible solutions — CEDAR, CRAVE, and CRAZE. It was time to deploy the EnotE© Strategy.
3rd word: CRAVE; I like to use one of the possible words as an elimination word if it makes sense. In today’s case either CRAVE or CRAZE would have worked as an elimination word. Based on frequency data, I chose CRAVE. It did the job. 😊
# Of Possible Solutions after the 1st word: too many
# Of Possible Solutions after the 2nd word: 3
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EnotE© (Eliminate-not-Enumerate) Strategy deployment: Deployed with the 3rd word. It worked as desired.
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Final thoughts: Wordle is a game of luck and skill. Sometimes luck favors the game and sometimes it favors the player. Luck was in my corner today.
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My other work you may find interesting
I write Rhyming Prose (Prose that rhymes). My work in this area can be found on my website, Rhyming Prose — … when a poem won’t do it!
I have also started writing free-verse poems, haikus and songs. My work in this area can be found on my website, Budding Poets Corner – Poet Laureates of Tomorrow
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© 2023 Ashok Gupta All rights reserved.
EnotE (Eliminate not Enumerate) is copyrighted by Ashok Gupta
Wordle and WordleBot are trademarks owned by the New York Times.
*The WordleBot score I refer to comes from Tom’s Guide by Marc McLaren. Marc writes his post at around 7 AM U.K. time.
https: //www.tomsguide.com/news/what-is-todays-wordle-answer#section-previous-wordle-answers
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