Wordle Bulletin # 554 (December 25, 2022)
My strategy is built to ensure I solve 95% of the puzzles in 4 guesses or less. It is not built to always shoot for the lowest score possible. The score depends a lot on the seed word. Wordle is a game of luck and skill. My goal is to score an average solve rate of 4 guesses. My aspirational goal is 3.5 average and <5% 5/6 guesses.
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Statistical Facts:
Typical Wordle Word Construct: 2 Vowels and one compound consonant (example KN or TCH)/paired consonant (example PP) ; seen with >50% frequency
10 Most frequent consonants (in declining order): R, T, L, S, N, C, H, P, D, and G
6 Vowels (in declining order): E, A, O, I, U, Y
10 Most frequent letters (in declining order): E, A, R, O, T, L, I, S, N, and C
Frequency of the 5 vowels in the five positions: 15%, 49%, 54%, 35% and 24% respectively.
Position of the letter “Y”: About 80% of all the “Ys” in Wordle are found in the 5th position.
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Today’s Wordle:
Target Word: EXTRA
# Of Guesses: 3.7 WordleBot average per Marc McLaren*; 3 for WordleGuru . 😊
Seed Word: ALERT (Top 3 consonants and top 2 vowels) – No change – this is my go-to Seed word.
What we learned from the Seed Word: The presence of 4 letters, with exact position for 1. This is huge! After the seed word, there were only 4 possibilities! Go figure!! 😊😊😊😊
Second Guess: The 4 possibilities after the seed word are EXTRA, TERRA, TEARY and STARE. My gut feel was leading me to EXTRA. However, EXTRA was not a good elimination word, since it would not have eliminated the remaining three possibilities Being risk averse, I chose TEARY which eliminated 3 of the four leaving me with the target word – EXTRA.
# Of Possible Solutions after the seed word: 4
# Of Possible Solutions after the 2nd word: 1
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EnotE (Eliminate-not-Enumerate) Strategy deployment: Worked as designed.
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Final thoughts: Wordle is a game of luck and skill. Sometimes luck favors the game and sometimes it favors the player. Today, my gutfeel would have given me a score of 2. I am a risk averse person. With a possible score of 2, went a possible score of 4.
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My other work you may find interesting
I write Rhyming Prose (Prose that rhymes). My work in this area can be found on my website, Rhyming Prose — … when a poem won’t do it!
I have also started writing free-verse poems, haikus and songs. My work in this area can be found on my website, Budding Poets Corner – Poet Laureates of Tomorrow
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© 2022 Ashok Gupta All rights reserved.
Wordle and WordleBot are trademarks owned by the New York Times.
*The WordleBot score I refer to comes from Tom’s Guide by Marc McLaren. Marc writes his post at around 7 AM U.K. time.
https: //www.tomsguide.com/news/what-is-todays-wordle-answer#section-previous-wordle-answers
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